Chien-Chi Chang / Magnum Photos

What Will Happen in 2024?

A Survey

February 28, 2024

Expert projections on homicide and other crime —

Expert projections on homicide and other crime —

in New York City and throughout the country

Predicting crime is neither a science nor an art, but those who follow trends and what drives them are arguably in the best position to make educated guesses about what is bound to happen.

We asked the contributors to this forum to tell us, by answering multiple-choice questions we asked, what they think 2024 has in store for New York City and the nation as a whole. Here are what their tarot cards reveal.