> ## Content Index
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# What Will Happen in 2024?
- URL: https://www.vitalcitynyc.org/what-will-happen-in-2024/
- Published: 2024-02-28T19:00:05.000Z
- Updated: 2026-08-26T20:31:28.000Z
- Description: Expert projections on homicide and other crime.
- Author: A Survey
- Tags: What the Future Holds, #crime-in-2023-and-2024, Crime, History, #Import 2026-02-26 13:34, #ImagesUploaded

![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/20/8c/208caa48-0e58-40ee-862f-e5f1276ae3d0/content/images/2026/04/0fd6fe24-dd2a-4a1c-8ffc-67db2d96c158_client---crime-a-symposium---looking-back-looking-forward---what-will-happen-in-2024---1-png-auto-compress-format-1776259764431.jpg)

Predicting crime is [neither a science nor an art](https://www.vitalcitynyc.org/articles/2023-crime-trends), but those who follow trends and what drives them are arguably in the best position to make educated guesses about what is bound to happen.

We asked the contributors to this forum to tell us, by answering multiple-choice questions we asked, what they think 2024 has in store for New York City and the nation as a whole. Here is what their tarot cards reveal.

![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/20/8c/208caa48-0e58-40ee-862f-e5f1276ae3d0/content/images/2026/04/8a29650a-053a-4ab5-8a70-b221be224b56_client---crime-a-symposium---looking-back-looking-forward---what-will-happen-in-2024---2-png-auto-compress-format-1776259764640.jpg)

![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/20/8c/208caa48-0e58-40ee-862f-e5f1276ae3d0/content/images/2026/04/34bd8081-786f-4e0b-b381-2756f6a533b4_client---crime-a-symposium---looking-back-looking-forward---what-will-happen-in-2024---3-png-auto-compress-format-1776259764602.jpg)

![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/20/8c/208caa48-0e58-40ee-862f-e5f1276ae3d0/content/images/2026/04/6a159dd4-0a91-4ccb-9908-a83db50b869c_client---crime-a-symposium---looking-back-looking-forward---what-will-happen-in-2024---4-png-auto-compress-format-1776259764959.jpg)

![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/20/8c/208caa48-0e58-40ee-862f-e5f1276ae3d0/content/images/2026/04/7135595e-f682-4d67-b731-c02de8108dac_client---crime-a-symposium---looking-back-looking-forward---what-will-happen-in-2024---5-png-auto-compress-format-1776259764604.jpg)